A game with real numbers
Would you have bet on it?
Every Timeline B dispatch starts from a real market that priced something at almost nothing. Here are five of them, without the number. Price each one, then see what the market actually said — and, where it has since settled, what our universe went and did about it.
Market 01 of 05
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Outcome — Yes
Priced on Polymarket
50.1% · 1-in-2
The markets and the prices are real, read on the venue named with each question. The dispatches they produced are satire.